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Election 2024 Polls: Missouri U.S. Senate

‹ See all presidential polls

Election 2024 Polls: Missouri U.S. Senate

‹ See all presidential polls
These averages, based on pre-election polls, were last updated at 6 p.m. Eastern time on Election Day. Follow live results ›

Who’s leading the polls?

Missouri polling average

About this data Note: Individual poll results are shown as circles for each candidate. Polls with greater weight in the average have larger circles. Source: Averages by The New York Times; polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Times.

Albert SunGraphics reporter

Control of the Senate is likely to hinge on the outcomes of just a handful of races, most of which the Democrats would have to win to maintain a slim majority. See the key races here.

The latest Senate polls

Every poll here influences the averages above. Polls from “select pollsters,” which meet certain criteria for reliability, count for more and are shown with a diamond. You can filter by state and toggle to show only select pollsters.

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About this data Note: Some polls may include responses for “undecided” or other candidates that may not be included in this table. Margins are calculated using unrounded vote shares when available. Source: Polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The New York Times.

Ruth IgielnikStaff editor, polling

Polls by “select pollsters” are shown with a diamond. These pollsters have backgrounds that tend to mean they are more reliable. Also, polls that were conducted by or for partisan organizations are labeled, as they often release only results that are favorable to their cause.

About our polling averages

Our averages include polls collected by The New York Times and by FiveThirtyEight. The estimates adjust for a variety of factors, including the recency and sample size of a poll, whether a poll represents likely voters, and whether other polls have shifted since a poll was conducted.

We also evaluate whether each pollster: Has a track record of accuracy in recent electionsIs a member of a professional polling organizationConducts probability-based sampling

These elements factor into how much weight each poll gets in the average. And we consider pollsters that meet at least two of the three criteria to be “select pollsters,” so long as they are conducting polls for nonpartisan sponsors. Read more about our methodology.

The Times conducts its own national and state polls in partnership with Siena College. Those polls are included in the averages. Follow Times/Siena polling here.

Maine and Nebraska award two electoral votes to the statewide winner and a single electoral vote to the winner of each congressional district. (Maine has two congressional districts, and Nebraska has three.) Historical election results for these districts are calculated based on votes cast within the current boundaries of the district.

Sources: Polling averages by The New York Times. Individual polls collected by FiveThirtyEight and The Times.

Credits

By Cam Baker, Laura Bejder Jensen, Ademola Bello, Dana Chiueh, Nate Cohn, Molly Cook Escobar, Annie Daniel, Ruth Igielnik, K.K. Rebecca Lai, Jasmine C. Lee, Alex Lemonides, Albert Sun, Rumsey Taylor and Isaac White. Additional work by Kristen Bayrakdarian, Asmaa Elkeurti, Andrew Fischer, Andrew Park, Jaymin Patel, Dan Simmons-Ritchie, Ethan Singer and James Thomas.